On Friday, World Health Organization (WHO) official Dr. Mike Ryan said the group’s “best guess” estimate is that 10 percent of the world’s population, or 750 million people, have been infected by the COVID-19 virus.
Dr. Ryan sees this as a cause for alarm. “The problem is there is more than six billion left. Therein lies our problem.”
While we can all agree that the deaths caused by the Chinese virus are terrible, some simple math can put this number into perspective—something the media seems to be missing.
Worldwide, the WHO estimates 1,040,000 (rounded) have died from COVID.
So, let’s do the math:
1.04 million deaths / 750 million infections = 0.1386 percent infection fatality rate.
According to the CDC, in the 2017-2018 flu season, the seasonal flu had a mortality rate ranging from 0.129 percent to 0.1355 percent.
Back in March, the WHO estimated a 3.4 percent fatality rate for COVID-19. The health experts advising various governments worldwide used dire predictions of incredibly high death rates to justify unprecedented lockdowns. Even Dr. Anthony Fauci estimated that the fatality rate of the coronavirus was about 2 percent. “If you look at the cases that have come to the attention of the medical authorities in China, and you just do the math, the math is about 2%.”
Readers of PJ Media have known that COVID-19 likely had a mortality rate comparable to the seasonal flu since April, when an antibody test in Santa Clara County estimated a mortality rate between .09 percent and .14 percent. Basically in line with what the WHO is saying now.
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